Not cataloged
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · GAME MARKETS
Under 6.5 (F5) · f5_total
under edge from the run-rate model in F5
Under 5.5 (F5) · f5_total
under edge from the run-rate model in F5
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Jake McCarthy · Under 1.5 <2 Total Bases
vs this arm — career SLG over .500
Hunter Goodman · Over 0.5 1+ HR
matchup grade lights up the HR pricing
Cole Carrigg · Under 1.5 <2 Total Bases
matchup grade unlocks TB upside
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
169 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 21
SEA @ COL · full-game reads
Moneyline
SEA to win
58%
1st 5 Innings
COL F5
37%
Game Total
Over 8.5
65%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
63%
Run Line
COL -1.5
28%
Team Total
SEA Over 4.5
62%
Team Total
COL Over 4.5
48%
THE READ
SEA projects to outscore COL by 1.23 runs across 5,000 trials.
SEA SP · vs. COL
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
64%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
45%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
28%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
16%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
9%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
77%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
48%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
66%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
53%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.4 Ks.
COL SP · vs. SEA
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
11%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
4%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
1%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
0%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
0%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
10%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
0%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
53%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
39%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 2.6 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
COL · bats R · slot 4
Home Run
1+ HR
33%
Hits
1+ hits
70%
Hits
2+ hits
30%
Total Bases
2+ bases
53%
Total Bases
3+ bases
41%
Total Bases
4+ bases
36%
RBIs
1+ RBI
46%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
24%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 33% against 16% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
SEA · bats L · slot 3
Home Run
1+ HR
26%
Hits
1+ hits
80%
Hits
2+ hits
42%
Total Bases
2+ bases
59%
Total Bases
3+ bases
43%
Total Bases
4+ bases
33%
RBIs
1+ RBI
49%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
26%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ RBIs — 26% against 15% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
SEA · bats S · slot 4
Home Run
1+ HR
25%
Hits
1+ hits
69%
Hits
2+ hits
28%
Total Bases
2+ bases
47%
Total Bases
3+ bases
34%
Total Bases
4+ bases
28%
RBIs
1+ RBI
43%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
21%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 25% against 16% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
SEA · bats R · slot 2
Home Run
1+ HR
21%
Hits
1+ hits
77%
Hits
2+ hits
38%
Total Bases
2+ bases
54%
Total Bases
3+ bases
37%
Total Bases
4+ bases
27%
RBIs
1+ RBI
41%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
19%
THE READ
Stands out most on 4+ bases — 27% against 21% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
SEA · bats R · slot 5
Home Run
1+ HR
19%
Hits
1+ hits
76%
Hits
2+ hits
37%
Total Bases
2+ bases
51%
Total Bases
3+ bases
32%
Total Bases
4+ bases
24%
RBIs
1+ RBI
41%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
19%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ hits — 37% against 29% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
COL · bats L · slot 7
Home Run
1+ HR
21%
Hits
1+ hits
64%
Hits
2+ hits
24%
Total Bases
2+ bases
43%
Total Bases
3+ bases
30%
Total Bases
4+ bases
24%
RBIs
1+ RBI
36%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
16%
THE READ
Stands out most on 1+ HR — 21% against 16% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
COL · bats L · slot 1
Home Run
1+ HR
13%
Hits
1+ hits
75%
Hits
2+ hits
36%
Total Bases
2+ bases
50%
Total Bases
3+ bases
32%
Total Bases
4+ bases
21%
RBIs
1+ RBI
28%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
10%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ hits — 36% against 29% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
COL · bats L · slot 3
Home Run
1+ HR
14%
Hits
1+ hits
73%
Hits
2+ hits
33%
Total Bases
2+ bases
46%
Total Bases
3+ bases
28%
Total Bases
4+ bases
19%
RBIs
1+ RBI
34%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
13%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ hits — 33% against 29% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
SEA · bats L · slot 6
Home Run
1+ HR
9%
Hits
1+ hits
71%
Hits
2+ hits
32%
Total Bases
2+ bases
42%
Total Bases
3+ bases
23%
Total Bases
4+ bases
13%
RBIs
1+ RBI
33%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
13%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ hits — 32% against 29% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
SEA · bats L · slot 1
Home Run
1+ HR
15%
Hits
1+ hits
71%
Hits
2+ hits
32%
Total Bases
2+ bases
44%
Total Bases
3+ bases
27%
Total Bases
4+ bases
19%
RBIs
1+ RBI
34%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
13%
THE READ
Stands out most on 2+ hits — 32% against 29% for the rest of tonight's lineups.
SEA · bats L · slot 7
Home Run
1+ HR
13%
Hits
1+ hits
69%
Hits
2+ hits
29%
Total Bases
2+ bases
41%
Total Bases
3+ bases
24%
Total Bases
4+ bases
17%
RBIs
1+ RBI
35%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
15%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 69%.
SEA · bats L · slot 8
Home Run
1+ HR
12%
Hits
1+ hits
66%
Hits
2+ hits
25%
Total Bases
2+ bases
39%
Total Bases
3+ bases
24%
Total Bases
4+ bases
16%
RBIs
1+ RBI
35%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
13%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 66%.
COL · bats R · slot 2
Home Run
1+ HR
15%
Hits
1+ hits
67%
Hits
2+ hits
27%
Total Bases
2+ bases
43%
Total Bases
3+ bases
27%
Total Bases
4+ bases
20%
RBIs
1+ RBI
31%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
12%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 67%.
COL · bats S · slot 8
Home Run
1+ HR
16%
Hits
1+ hits
62%
Hits
2+ hits
22%
Total Bases
2+ bases
39%
Total Bases
3+ bases
24%
Total Bases
4+ bases
18%
RBIs
1+ RBI
32%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
12%
THE READ
Nothing separates him from tonight's field — the sim has him within a few points of average across all 8 markets. Highest line is 1+ hits at 62%.
COL · bats R · slot 6
Home Run
1+ HR
12%
Hits
1+ hits
65%
Hits
2+ hits
24%
Total Bases
2+ bases
39%
Total Bases
3+ bases
23%
Total Bases
4+ bases
16%
RBIs
1+ RBI
29%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
11%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 65% against 69%.
COL · bats S · slot 5
Home Run
1+ HR
13%
Hits
1+ hits
65%
Hits
2+ hits
24%
Total Bases
2+ bases
40%
Total Bases
3+ bases
24%
Total Bases
4+ bases
16%
RBIs
1+ RBI
29%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
11%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 65% against 69%.
SEA · bats S · slot 9
Home Run
1+ HR
9%
Hits
1+ hits
64%
Hits
2+ hits
24%
Total Bases
2+ bases
37%
Total Bases
3+ bases
20%
Total Bases
4+ bases
13%
RBIs
1+ RBI
30%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
11%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 64% against 69%.
COL · bats R · slot 9
Home Run
1+ HR
10%
Hits
1+ hits
56%
Hits
2+ hits
17%
Total Bases
2+ bases
30%
Total Bases
3+ bases
16%
Total Bases
4+ bases
12%
RBIs
1+ RBI
24%
RBIs
2+ RBIs
8%
THE READ
Sim has him below tonight's field on every market — his best line is 1+ hits at 56% against 69%.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how COL hits RHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits RHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Altitude — extreme run environment.
Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.
Neutral zone — no K% edge either side.
Mean score sim 6.0–4.8 · projected total 10.8 runs · built on locked lineups
That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.
Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read
BetFly publishes sports predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only — not financial, investment, or wagering advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Must be 21+. Not available in all states.