LOS ANGELESLAA
60-98 · +5 AL WEST · L3 · 4-6 L10
@TUE 9:40 PM ETATH HOME PARK
63-95 · +4 AL WEST · W2 · 3-7 L10
ATH
Weather
—
Home plate ump
Ben May K-0.8%
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
2-game set · 0-2 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Yusei Kikuchi
LHP · LAAPROBABLE
STUFF+98
ERA
4.88
IP
62.2
K/9
8.6
BB/9
4.2
WHIP
1.55
L5 STARTS3.09 ERA · 19.7% K · 12% BB▲ TRENDING
PITCH MIX · SEASON
34%
24%
22%
12%
9%
4-Seam FastballSliderSplit-FingerCutterCurveball
Brady Basso
LHP · ATHPROBABLE
STUFF+—
ERA
5.36
IP
42.0
K/9
6.4
BB/9
1.9
WHIP
1.60
L5 STARTS7.44 ERA · 11.6% K · 7.2% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
41%
Cutter
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETAngels 51%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

LAA ATH

Game Markets

LAA @ ATH · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAA to win

51%

1st 5 Innings

ATH F5

39%

Game Total

Over 8.5

54%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

55%

Run Line

ATH -1.5

34%

Team Total

LAA Over 4.5

49%

Team Total

ATH Over 4.5

45%

THE READ

LAA projects to outscore ATH by 0.34 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: LAA 4.88, ATH 4.55
  • Walbert Ureña (LAA) vs Jeffrey Springs (ATH)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
WU

Walbert Ureña

LAA SP · vs. ATH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

76%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

61%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

45%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

30%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

19%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

84%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

63%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

67%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

55%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.3 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.3 strikeouts
  • 76% to reach 5+ against ATH
JS

Jeffrey Springs

ATH SP · vs. LAA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

17%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

3%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

1%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

30%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

8%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

46%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

33%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 2.9 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 2.9 strikeouts
  • 17% to reach 5+ against LAA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

YUSEI KIKUCHI SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%20.5%OPS-against.805
vs Left-handedK%23.6%OPS-against.819
ATH vs LHP (team)OPS.719K%24.1%

BRADY BASSO SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAA hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%15.4%OPS-against.900
vs Left-handedK%15.9%OPS-against.762
LAA vs LHP (team)OPS.696K%24.8%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

ATH BATTERS vs YUSEI KIKUCHI

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAA BATTERS vs BRADY BASSO

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAA 0·ATH 2
2-game set · gm 2 of 2
2026 SEASON
LAA 6·ATH 11
17 played · 2 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
91%LAA
LAA 161 · ATH 16 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-24ATH 7-3
2026-09-23ATH 9-7 · Slugfest
2026-06-28LAA 4-1
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

LAA OFFENSE

.298L15 team wOBA
-18 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

ATH OFFENSE

.273L15 team wOBA
-43 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT

Park factors unavailable.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE
MAY
Called K rate-0.8% vs avg
Runs per 9—
Games this yr287

Neutral zone — no K% edge either side.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

ANGELS 51%

Mean score sim 4.9–4.5 · projected total 9.4 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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