Not cataloged
MODEL VS THE BOOKS · PLAYER PROPS
Josh Bell · Over 0.5 1+ RBIs
cleanup spot + hot bat = RBI machine
Best available line across the books we track, shown as data — not an endorsement of any book. Model probability vs the line's implied probability; refreshed through game day. Research, not betting advice.
25 simulated lines · raw sim
1 / 4
MIN @ SF · full-game reads
Moneyline
MIN to win
54%
1st 5 Innings
SF F5
37%
Game Total
Over 8.5
47%
1st 5 Total
Over 4.5
53%
Run Line
SF -1.5
29%
Team Total
MIN Over 4.5
47%
Team Total
SF Over 4.5
37%
THE READ
MIN projects to outscore SF by 0.70 runs across 5,000 trials.
MIN SP · vs. SF
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
60%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
42%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
26%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
14%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
7%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
74%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
35%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
54%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
39%
THE READ
Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.2 Ks.
SF SP · vs. MIN
Strikeouts
5+ Ks
13%
Strikeouts
6+ Ks
5%
Strikeouts
7+ Ks
1%
Strikeouts
8+ Ks
0%
Strikeouts
9+ Ks
0%
Outs Recorded
15+ outs
33%
Outs Recorded
18+ outs
4%
Hits Allowed
5+ hits
51%
Hits Allowed
6+ hits
37%
THE READ
Low-strikeout projection at 2.7 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.
The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SF hits RHP
How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how MIN hits RHP
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
No meaningful career history with this pitcher.
9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).
Marine air kills carry to RCF.
Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.
Neutral zone — no K% edge either side.
Mean score sim 4.7–4.0 · projected total 8.6 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post
That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.
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