LOS ANGELESLAA
60-98 · +5 AL WEST · L3 · 4-6 L10
@WED 9:40 PM ETATH HOME PARK
63-95 · +4 AL WEST · W2 · 3-7 L10
ATH
Weather
—
Home plate ump
Felix Neon K+0.0%
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
2-game set · 0-2 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Walbert Ureña
RHP · LAAPROBABLE
STUFF+100
ERA
2.97
IP
148.1
K/9
8.6
BB/9
4.1
WHIP
1.23
L5 STARTS3.09 ERA · 24% K · 3.2% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
33%
32%
20%
16%
ChangeupSinker4-Seam FastballSweeper
Jeffrey Springs
LHP · ATHPROBABLE
STUFF+97
ERA
6.18
IP
142.2
K/9
7.1
BB/9
3.6
WHIP
1.46
L5 STARTS6.92 ERA · 19.4% K · 7.8% BB
PITCH MIX · SEASON
44%
26%
23%
4-Seam FastballSliderChangeupSweeper
— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETAngels 53%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

LAA ATH

Game Markets

LAA @ ATH · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

LAA to win

53%

1st 5 Innings

ATH F5

36%

Game Total

Over 8.5

56%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

57%

Run Line

ATH -1.5

31%

Team Total

LAA Over 4.5

51%

Team Total

ATH Over 4.5

45%

THE READ

LAA projects to outscore ATH by 0.61 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: LAA 5.12, ATH 4.52
  • Walbert Ureña (LAA) vs Jeffrey Springs (ATH)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
WU

Walbert Ureña

LAA SP · vs. ATH

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

75%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

60%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

44%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

17%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

83%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

61%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

66%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

53%

THE READ

Strikeout-heavy projection — the sim has him at 6.2 Ks, with the ladder still live into the 8+ rung.

  • Sim projects 6.2 strikeouts
  • 75% to reach 5+ against ATH
JS

Jeffrey Springs

ATH SP · vs. LAA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

27%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

14%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

5%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

2%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

0%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

55%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

23%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

59%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

46%

THE READ

Low-strikeout projection at 3.5 Ks — the ladder thins out fast above the first rung.

  • Sim projects 3.5 strikeouts
  • 27% to reach 5+ against LAA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

WALBERT UREÑA SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how ATH hits LHP

vs Right-handedK%26.1%OPS-against.558
vs Left-handedK%20.1%OPS-against.657
ATH vs LHP (team)OPS.719K%24.1%

JEFFREY SPRINGS SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAA hits RHP

vs Right-handedK%18.5%OPS-against.829
vs Left-handedK%16.0%OPS-against.936
LAA vs RHP (team)OPS.672K%25.7%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

ATH BATTERS vs WALBERT UREÑA

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAA BATTERS vs JEFFREY SPRINGS

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAA 0·ATH 2
2-game set · gm 2 of 2
2026 SEASON
LAA 6·ATH 11
17 played · 2 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
91%LAA
LAA 161 · ATH 16 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-24ATH 7-3
2026-09-23ATH 9-7 · Slugfest
2026-06-28LAA 4-1
— MARKET SNAPSHOT

Market snapshot unavailable (no recent odds).

— LINEUP FORM · L15

LAA OFFENSE

.306L15 team wOBA
-10 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

ATH OFFENSE

.279L15 team wOBA
-37 pts vs LG AVG · BOTTOM 6
— ENVIRONMENT

Park factors unavailable.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE
NEON
Called K rate0.0% vs avg
Runs per 9—
Games this yr4

Low sample size — no strong tendency signal.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

ANGELS 53%

Mean score sim 5.1–4.5 · projected total 9.6 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

Free tier: preview only · EDGE $10/MO · SHARP $25/MO unlocks the read