LOS ANGELESLAA
60-98 · +5 AL WEST · L3 · 4-6 L10
@2026-09-23SEA HOME PARK
74-84 · +3 AL WEST · W1 · 5-5 L10
SEATTLESEA
Weather
—
Home plate ump
—
Injuries
No injury concerns
Series so far
4-game set · 0-0 so far in 2026
— PITCHING MATCHUP
Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

Probable pitcher TBD

Not yet announced by the team.

— MODEL VS THE BOOKS

Book comparison posts as sportsbook lines and the engine's cycle sync come in — refreshed every ~30 minutes through game day.

— ENGINE PROBABILITIES · EVERY MARKETMariners 62%

25 simulated lines · raw sim

1 / 4

LAA SEA

Game Markets

LAA @ SEA · full-game reads

7 MARKETS

Moneyline

SEA to win

62%

1st 5 Innings

SEA F5

53%

Game Total

Over 8.5

43%

1st 5 Total

Over 4.5

46%

Run Line

SEA -1.5

43%

Team Total

LAA Over 4.5

31%

Team Total

SEA Over 4.5

45%

THE READ

SEA projects to outscore LAA by 1.04 runs across 5,000 trials.

  • Projected runs: LAA 3.54, SEA 4.58
  • Grayson Rodriguez (LAA) vs Bryan Woo (SEA)
  • Run on league-average lineups — refreshes when lineups post
GR

Grayson Rodriguez

LAA SP · vs. SEA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

48%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

29%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

16%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

7%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

3%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

77%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

35%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

59%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

45%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 4.5 Ks.

  • Sim projects 4.5 strikeouts
  • 48% to reach 5+ against SEA
BW

Bryan Woo

SEA SP · vs. LAA

SP

Strikeouts

5+ Ks

70%

Strikeouts

6+ Ks

53%

Strikeouts

7+ Ks

36%

Strikeouts

8+ Ks

22%

Strikeouts

9+ Ks

12%

Outs Recorded

15+ outs

86%

Outs Recorded

18+ outs

61%

Hits Allowed

5+ hits

55%

Hits Allowed

6+ hits

42%

THE READ

Middle-of-the-road strikeout projection at 5.8 Ks.

  • Sim projects 5.8 strikeouts
  • 70% to reach 5+ against LAA

BATTER CARDS
UNLOCK WHEN LINEUPS POST

The sim can't run a hitter until it knows he's in the lineup. Clubs post about two hours before first pitch, and every bat gets a card with HR, hits, total bases and RBI.

— SPLITS THAT MATTER

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how SEA hits LHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

SEA vs LHP (team)OPS.654K%23.8%

SPLITS

How this pitcher performs by batter hand + how LAA hits RHP

Pitcher splits unavailable.

LAA vs RHP (team)OPS.672K%25.7%
— LINEUPS

AWAY LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

HOME LINEUP

Awaiting lineup — teams typically post 3-4 hours before first pitch.

— CAREER MATCHUPS

SEA BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

LAA BATTERS vs

No meaningful career history with this pitcher.

9 additional batters hidden (small sample or no history).

— SERIES HISTORY
THIS SERIES
LAA 0·SEA 0
4-game set · gm 1 of 4
2026 SEASON
LAA 6·SEA 5
11 played · 8 remaining
ALL-TIME (2010-)
52%LAA
LAA 168 · SEA 153 · since 2010
NOTABLE RECENT MEETINGS
2026-09-17SEA 7-2
2026-09-16LAA 2-1 · Pitchers duel
2026-09-15LAA 6-4
— MARKET SNAPSHOT
Moneyline
LAA35¢ · 35%
SEA69¢ · 69%
Total 7
Over52¢ · 52%
Under52¢ · 52%
Run line ±1.5
LAA -1.5— · —
SEA +1.5— · —
First 5 innings
O 4.5— · —
U 4.5— · —
TOTAL MOVEMENT7→7.5→7last 12h
— LINEUP FORM · L15

LAA OFFENSE

.306L15 team wOBA
-10 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG

SEA OFFENSE

.308L15 team wOBA
-9 pts vs LG AVG · BELOW AVG
— ENVIRONMENT
T-MOBILE PARK
88HR
HR factor0.88 · below avg
Runs factor0.92 · −
Doubles factor0.96 · neutral

Notorious pitcher park.

WEATHER · FIRST PITCH

Forecast loading — check back within 3 hours of first pitch.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Umpire assignment posts ~24h before first pitch.

— INJURY REPORTclean
Injury report unavailable.
THE SIM IS LIVE · 5,000 TRIALS

MARINERS 62%

Mean score sim 3.5–4.6 · projected total 8.1 runs · pre-lineup estimate — refreshes when lineups post

That's the simulation. The called reads — which markets the engine actually likes at today's prices, with the reasoning — publish to Edge and Sharp members.

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